Sunday, July 4, 2021

Raining hell, from up above


The backstory

About a week back, there was a drone attack on an Indian Air Force base in Jammu. Two drones dropped explosives and flew back. We do not yet know where the drones came from or if they had a specific target, the National Investigation Agency (NIA) is conducting an enquiry. All we know so far is that the twin explosions did not damage any defense equipment nor did they cause loss of lives.

So what?

While the direct impact of the detonations does not seem to be high, there is cause to worry. Although the use of drones for disaster relief, mapping and surveillance is becoming commonplace, drone warfare is still new to India, especially on the contentious Jammu & Kashmir border. Disturbances on the Line of Control (LoC) have been either due to direct shelling from the Pakistani side or the disquiet created by proxies in the region, that is to say disturbances did not have an aerial angle to them.

Yes, India and Pakistan exchanged tit for tat aerial attacks in the aftermath of the Pulwama bombing in 2019, but it was a more conventional move- with warplanes. But drones? Drones are the proverbial new kid on the block. Prime Minister Modi meeting with the Defense Minister, Home Minister and NSA immediately after the attack points to the challenges the drone incident represents.

There have been reports of signal jammers and anti-drone systems being set up in the Jammu Air Forces base which is pertinent, considering the imminent threat. But a more comprehensive plan and rollout is warranted.

Israel’s semi-autonomous Iron Dome system comes to mind- it scouts for incoming missiles, intercepts them and triggers a detonation in the air, before the missiles can cause any real damage. India needs an analogous system to counter threats from drones. With Xi Jinping reaffirming China’s aggressive posturing during the Chinese Communist Party’s centenary celebrations and the deepening Pakistan-China relations (including on drones), investing in drone technology may not be a bad bargain.

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